The BMI India Retail Report for the first-quarter of 2011 forecasts that total retail sales will grow from US$ 392.63 billion in 2011 to US$ 674.37 billion by 2014. Strong underlying economic growth, population expansion, the increasing wealth of individuals and the rapid construction of organised retail infrastructure are key factors behind the forecast growth. With the expanding middle and upper class consumer base, there will also be opportunities in India's tier II and III cities.
Mass grocery retail (MGR) sales in India are expected to undergo enormous growth over the forecast period. BMI predicts that sales through MGR outlets will increase by 145 per cent to reach US$ 21.35 billion by 2014.
However, what is interesting to note is that while the report looks at & reports retail trends across the modern trade - it seems to be silent on the 90+% of the trade which is controlled by traditional trade.